Thursday, April 14, 2011

Did Ted Cruz Really Bomb in Collin County?

Just got this email (well just opened it) from a friend up north in McKinney:
"You should have seen how bad Ted Cruz did at the Collin County Lincoln Day Dinner, he was awful. Granted they gave him a spot while the food was being delivered and everyone was being asked to eat before Congressman West spoke, but man it was bad. We all know he wanted to be AG of Texas, and he sure sounds like he is still running for that. He walked in and out of the spotlight so you couldn't see him and his speech was dryer than a martini.
Not sure why he was the only one allowed to speak, either. Roger Williams and Tom Leppert were both there - in fact Leppert was a donor from what I could tell. It doesn't bode well for Cruz to bomb in such a voter rich county. It would be tough to be compared to West, he is a dynamic speaker...but there really is no excuse for tanking it this bad.
Ouch. This comes from a past consultant now retired activist and a wise old sage of politics.

Wednesday, April 13, 2011

More on Tom Leppert and his flip-flops

Found this from conservative blogger Matt Dowling's website

When Mayor Tom Leppert jumped into the senate race I was a little skeptical of his decision. Why would he join a crowded field with little name ID and no conservative base or credentials (at least that I know of)? So I decided to do a little research about the mayor to see if I could figure out the ace up his sleeve that was going to win over Texas conservatives. I wondered if he slained unions or defeated a tax increase against all odds. Instead, I discovered his past support for the Lesbian Gay Bi-Sexual and Transgender community.

Now this picture is the end of the road for him. I’m not sure if Mayor Leppert’s record is common knowledge in Dallas, but it sure isn’t in the rest of Texas.
The social conservatives in the Republican Party are going to have a field day with this picture and his advocacy for gay rights in Dallas. He isn’t going to make it out of the gates in the senate race and I am still at a loss on why he even got in.
Not to mention that he has donated thousands of dollars to defeat one of Texas’ current U.S. senators, John Cornyn. He is going to get booed out of every Republican women’s club out there.
I don't know Matt Dowling, but somehow I think he is right.

Liberal or Conservative, The Mystery of Tom Leppert

If you paid any attention to the Kay Bailey/Rick Perry bloodbath of a primary, KBH was quickly labeled a Washington DC big spending liberal who was not a social conservative either. The Perry team did a fabulous job of putting a label on her that stuck like a cheap suit. Kay Bailout was the battle cry that sunk the USS Hutchison faster than the Titanic.

Well, seems we have a Kay clone (and well we are replacing Kay aren't we?) in Tom Leppert. One significant reason Mitt Romney got zero traction (not his Mormon issue) was because of his record of flip-flopping. While running for Senate, he famously said he was no Reagan/Bush Republican when trying to out-flank Ted Kennedy's liberalism. You Tube videos were widely circulated showing just how he tried to be more liberal than the liberal icon himself.

Tom Leppert, while not on video, has his own flip-flopping problem. As Mayor of Dallas, he voted to increase taxes on the citizens in his very first budget. That was then, now he is the fiscal hawk using the mantra that we cannot afford to raise taxes. We could then, but not now?  He pushed for and got passed the issue where the City of Dallas would build and own the new Convention Center hotel, a big government solution that only came about because he went after and got Obama Stimulas money.

And now he has sold out the gay community in Dallas. Apparently one of the first things he did was march in the Alan Ross Freedom Parade, aka the Dallas Gay Pride Parade, right after becoming Mayor. In fact, pictures are out there of him smiling while wearing a rainbow colored ribbon with the parade information on the meda. (Not to mention the fact that his hire for Chief of Staff was the openly gay former WFAA report Chris Heinbaugh) Problem is, you won't win a Republican Primary in Texas while being a gay pride parade marcher and supporter of gay marriage. What's one to do, oh yea, flip-flop on the issue and that's exactly what Tom Leppert has done.

One thing though, the gay community doesn't like this all-of-a-sudden change from the former Mayor. From the Dallas Voice "Later, of course, we discovered that the Tweet wasn’t the half of it: Leppert came out on his campaign website against both same-sex marriage and civil unions. (In other words, he believes your relationship is shit.)"

So is an elected official who was pro-tax, pro-big government, and pro-gay marriage now anti-tax, anti-big government, and anti-gay marriage going to survive the Republican Primary or should he simply run as a Democrat and not flip-flop? Texas GOP voters get to decide that, hmm.....

The Race Has Changed

You might notice our head picture has changed with the addition of Ted Cruz. Why, well he raised $1M dollars and you can't ignore that.

Who is Ted Cruz? He is the former Solicitor General for the State of Texas and former Attorney General Candidate. Many pegged him as the air apparent to Greg Abbott when he decided to run for Lt. Governor after David Dewhurst decided to run for Senate. Well, Abbott is still the AG and one has to wonder if he knows that Dehurst isn't vacating the Lite Gov job for a Senate run which is why Cruz is instead going after Kay's soon-to-be old job...politics, gotta love it.

Anyow, ReplacingKayBailey has been out on a vacation and has recently received some intel and will have more soon.

Friday, April 1, 2011

April 1st Facebook Report

We'll try to keep you informed on a month by month basis of the power of social media:

David Dewhurst: 21,360
Michael Williams 7,836
Roger Williams 5,980
Tom Leppert 1,330

David Dewhurst 4,538 Followers @dewhurst4texas
Tom Leppert 1,170 Followers @tomleppert
Michael Williams 936 Followers @williamsfortx
Roger Williams 857 Followers @rogerforsenate

Tomorrow, Michael becomes Former and Present

To Michael Williams credit, he is resigning his position to run...all in as they say in Poker. Elizabeth Ames Jones can't be given that same good will.

AUSTIN, Texas (AP) — Texas Railroad Commissioner Michael Williams says he's leaving office April 2 to concentrate full time on his run for the U.S. Senate.

UT/Texas Tribune KBH Replacement Poll

According to the UT/Texas Tribune Poll released in February (remember, they were known for being wrong more than right in the Hutchison/Perry and Perry/White polls) showed it was "There’s Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst. Then there’s everybody else" as said by the Washington Times' David Edlridge in sizing up the poll:
52 percent of voters also said they were still undecided. Republicans are heavily favored to retain the seat, making the nomination particularly valuable. “The average Texan really isn’t paying attention to this race yet,” said Harvey Tucker, a Texas A&M University political scientist. “And those numbers for Dewhurst are based on little more than statewide name recognition. This race is wide open. What happens if, say, Nolan Ryan decides to run?” 
Two things are certain, Nolan Ryan will not run for Senate and some people like us ARE paying attention!

Another older article speculating on KBH's replacement

From Mary Phillips-Sandy (reading her bio, not sure she really has the credentials of a political writer I would trust) on AOL on Jan 13, 2011. According to her, it's Dewhurst, Michael Williams, Tom Leppert, and then Elizabeth Ames Jones. Phillips-Sandy quotes a DSCC staffer as saying this is "is now one of several Democratic pickup opportunities next November." Since she speculates that Bill White, who got his butt handed to him by Rick perry, might jump in - it'shard to imagine she has a lot of credibility. Love her editorial line at the end that proves her biased towards the Democrats.